Monday, November 30, 2009

Everything back to normal

Market rallies in the last hour per usual. Surprisingly, banks and reits rocket back higher than they were before Dubai even happened. This was shocking to me...

Tough market to play unless you buy, buy, buy. I have a feeling this will end very badly for longs but when is the question. As of right now, I see no fear in the longs and the buy the dip has worked so easily it's hard to stop doing it I guess for longs despite economic / geopolitical issues. Not a lot to report these days as eco data or news really isn't that important. This is a market driven by momentum and fear to sell/short...

Thursday, November 26, 2009

Looks like it will be a "black" Friday for the US Markets

Futures down big on this Dubai news and a worldwide selloff...

Dubai Debt Problems Could Rattle Market Friday

Look for the banks to get ripped...

Dubai said on Wednesday that the delayed repayment of debt was a first step toward restructuring Dubai World, the conglomerate that spearheaded the emirate's breakneck growth.

The news has sent the cost of insuring Dubai's debt against default soaring and bond prices tumbling.

State-run Dubai World has $59 billion of liabilities, its subsidiary Nakheel said in August, a large proportion of Dubai's total debt of $80 billion.

Wednesday, November 25, 2009

Is chasing performance a viable investment strategy?

I hear about how the market is going to go up because people are chasing performance.

I ask you is that a viable investment strategy or reason to be long?

Prechter makes a 200% short call (all-in short call)

check the article

Gap and Crap?

Market gapping up, but is this a set up fro a "gap and crap" or do we just rocket thru highs the day before Thanksgiving?

Oh, and dollar down and market/gold up again... what else is new?

Tuesday, November 24, 2009

Interesting how major economic data is consistently revised lower

weeks after it made its impact on the market.

today, 3rd quarter GDP was revised from 3.5% to 2.8%. If you remember a few weeks ago the market went ballistic when we had the 3.5% which was above the 3% forecast. But, since it is weeks later it doesn't matter. Ever since March this revised lower after the fact has been going on.

strange, huh?

Monday, November 23, 2009

Same report as usual

dollar down, market up, gold up

nothing really else to report

Monday, November 16, 2009

Back from a little break

market still in full go-go mode I see... supported by the dollar continuing it's dump - down another 0.5% this morning... who knew it was this easy to work the stock market up and help the wealthiest people by hurting the poorest...

Friday, November 6, 2009

Perfect 10 - 10.2 to be exact

Serious "realistic" damage done today to the bull case as unemployment soars to a reported 10.2% well above the analysts 9.9% estimate. Remember, the market is up over 3% this week in anticipation of this report.

This is highest since 1983, but who knows the bulls will find some silver lining to bid up stocks right?

Oh - and for those playing along at home the "Adverse Case" unemployment for 2009 used in the Bank Stress Tests was 8.9%. Ooops...

Anyway, let's go buy some stocks because we must have finally reached a bottom and economic data only matters when it is bullish, right! That's the way the bulls have played it and they have played it well as shorts get chewed up again and again... when is the longs "day of reckoning" - i would say we are not too far away.

oh and by the way the U6 or full unemployment rate is at 17.5% - giddyup!

Thursday, November 5, 2009

Bob Prechter - Rally Ova!

I am shocked by the strength in the market today

nothing else I can say except wow or WTF?

But taking daytrading short right here at S&P 1063 and Naz 2102

None of my content is a recommendation to buy or sell any securities.

Please do your own research or consult an advisor before making any investments.